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San Diego vs San Francisco: First Inning Run
predict
kalshi

What happens in San Diego vs San Francisco first inning?

Volume:
$152,965

Over 0.5 runs in the 1st inning

 - Kalshi

Over 0.5 runs in the 1st inning - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 12, 2026

Closed: Sep 12, 4:24 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Over 0.5 runs in the 1st inning

View
100%
58%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$120,725
N/A
N/A
$95,896
Settled
Yes
predict

San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants

View
94%
Yes 94¢No 6¢
—
$18,424
$32,239
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

This prediction market asks whether either team (San Diego Padres or San Francisco Giants) will score a run in the first inning of their scheduled baseball game. The market resolves to 'Yes' if a run is scored by either team, and otherwise resolves to 'No'.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The platforms have fundamentally different resolution criteria: Predict focuses on the overall game winner, while Kalshi focuses on first inning scoring.Hero tip: These are distinct markets. Trade based on your prediction of whether a run will be scored in the first inning, not the overall game result.

Critical divergence points:

  • predict: This market resolves based on which team wins the entire game. Key Quote: "This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game."
  • kalshi: This market resolves based on whether either team scores a run in the first inning. Key Quote: "If either team scores a run in the first inning...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

If either team scores a run in the first inning of the San Diego vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for September 12 at 4:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found in the first inning run market, often reflect a more nuanced and real-time assessment of probabilities than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance action, while prediction markets are driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. This can lead to differences, especially as new information emerges. Typically, prediction markets incorporate a wider range of data and are less susceptible to biases inherent in sportsbook modeling. However, arbitrage opportunities can arise, causing convergence between the two, especially closer to the event.

Differences in prices between Kalshi and Predict for this market can stem from several factors. Each platform has its own user base, with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading volume also differs; Kalshi may have more activity on this specific market than Predict. Kalshi and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Furthermore, the platforms employ slightly different market-making algorithms and fee structures, which can influence price discovery. These factors contribute to a dynamic where the perceived probability of a first-inning run may be assessed differently by traders on each venue, resulting in price discrepancies.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding the starting pitchers – injuries, changes in form, or historical performance against the opposing team – would be influential. Lineup announcements are also crucial, as strong hitters in the leadoff spot increase the probability of an early run. Weather conditions, particularly wind direction and temperature, can also play a role. Finally, late-breaking news regarding player availability or any unforeseen circumstances could cause substantial shifts in the market price as traders adjust their assessments.