TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 10:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether San Diego will win its professional baseball game against San Francisco. Currently, Kalshi gives San Diego a 92.0% probability of winning, while San Francisco is at 8.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026 at 7:20 PM EDT, as determined by the official result reported by the resolution source. Keep a close watch on September 14, 2026, as this is the estimated resolution date for the market and will confirm the final result of the game.
The event determines the winner of the professional baseball game between San Diego and San Francisco originally scheduled for September 13, 2026, at 7:20 PM EDT. If San Diego wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes, and San Francisco’s resolves to No, and vice versa. Should the game be postponed or delayed but rescheduled within two days, the market remains open until the game concludes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days beyond the original date, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The markets operate independently of official league affiliations, serving as a predictive framework for the contest’s outcome.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market aims to represent the true probability as assessed by traders. You may find that this market’s implied probabilities differ from those offered by sportsbooks, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. These differences can arise from varying levels of expertise and the incentives of those placing bets in each venue.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the San Diego vs San Francisco matchup, as reported by authoritative sources. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding team performance, key player injuries, or changes in coaching strategies could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the event itself, such as venue changes or schedule adjustments, would also likely cause price fluctuations. Broad economic indicators or even public opinion shifts, if they impact fan engagement, could also play a role in how this market evolves leading up to Sep 14, 2026.