TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Sports
San Diego vs San Francisco
kalshi

Who will win San Diego vs San Francisco?

Volume:
$2,543,273

San Diego

 - Kalshi

San Diego - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 13, 2026

Closed: Sep 12, 6:54 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

San Diego

View
100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,129,295
N/A
N/A
$494,051
Settled
Yes
kalshi

San Francisco

0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,413,978
N/A
N/A
$648,724
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Intro

This market tracks whether San Diego will win a professional baseball game against San Francisco. Currently, the probability of San Diego winning on Kalshi is 85.0%, while San Francisco winning is at 15.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT, as determined by the official result reported by Kalshi. Keep a close eye on the starting pitcher announcements leading up to the game on September 12, 2026, as these will likely influence trading activity.

Kalshi

If San Diego wins the San Diego vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If San Francisco wins the San Diego vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the San Diego vs San Francisco matchup tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probabilities shift as traders buy and sell contracts. Currently, the total volume for this market is $2,543,273, with $2,240,426 traded in the last 24 hours. The dashboard provides a real-time view of market sentiment and allows you to analyze trading activity related to this exciting contest. It’s a central hub for understanding where the crowd stands on the potential outcome.

Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. It’s common to see prediction market probabilities shift based on information not yet fully incorporated into sportsbook lines, such as subtle changes in team dynamics or emerging news. Comparing the two can offer a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders directly buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts predicting a particular result, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, providing a forward-looking assessment of the San Diego vs San Francisco matchup.

This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the San Diego vs San Francisco matchup, as determined by the governing body of the sport. The platform will verify the outcome against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any major news regarding player injuries, coaching changes, or team performance would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected announcements about the venue or scheduling changes could also move the market. Furthermore, shifts in public sentiment, driven by media coverage or social media trends, can influence trading activity. Even seemingly minor developments, such as updated statistics or analysis from sports commentators, could contribute to changes in the probabilities reflected in this market.