TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 6:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether San Diego will win a professional baseball game against San Francisco. Currently, the probability of San Diego winning on Kalshi is 85.0%, while San Francisco winning is at 15.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT, as determined by the official result reported by Kalshi. Keep a close eye on the starting pitcher announcements leading up to the game on September 12, 2026, as these will likely influence trading activity.
If San Diego wins the San Diego vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If San Francisco wins the San Diego vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. It’s common to see prediction market probabilities shift based on information not yet fully incorporated into sportsbook lines, such as subtle changes in team dynamics or emerging news. Comparing the two can offer a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders directly buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts predicting a particular result, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, providing a forward-looking assessment of the San Diego vs San Francisco matchup.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the San Diego vs San Francisco matchup, as determined by the governing body of the sport. The platform will verify the outcome against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any major news regarding player injuries, coaching changes, or team performance would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected announcements about the venue or scheduling changes could also move the market. Furthermore, shifts in public sentiment, driven by media coverage or social media trends, can influence trading activity. Even seemingly minor developments, such as updated statistics or analysis from sports commentators, could contribute to changes in the probabilities reflected in this market.