TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 17, 7:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether either team will score a run in the first inning of the San Diego vs New York M professional baseball game. On Kalshi, the current probability for Yes is 42.0%. The resolution source is the game's result on August 17, 2026. Watch for the first inning performance on August 17, 2026, as it will directly determine the market outcome.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the San Diego vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 17, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market resolves around Aug 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by whether a run is scored in the first inning of the game, as officially recorded in the box score. Once the game concludes and the official statistics are published, the market will settle based on that verified data, closing all positions and determining final payouts for participants.
Several signals could shift the odds in this market before it resolves. Key starting lineup announcements, especially regarding star hitters or pitchers, can significantly affect trader sentiment. Weather conditions that might impact early-game batting or pitching performance also often influence pricing. In-game events, such as early extra-base hits or defensive errors, may cause rapid shifts in trading activity as participants react to emerging momentum. Any last-minute roster changes or umpires’ decisions could also move this market sharply as the game approaches.