TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 5, 10:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This market on Kalshi tracks whether San Diego and Los Angeles Dodgers will combine for more than 3.5 runs in their matchup. The leading outcome currently stands at 99.0% probability. Resolution is determined by the official combined run total from the professional baseball game scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 7:20 PM EDT, as tracked by standard baseball scoring records. Watch for the final out of the game on July 5, 2026, which will trigger the resolution calculation.
The San Diego vs Los Angeles Dodgers game scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 7:20 PM EDT will be evaluated based on the combined runs scored by both teams. Resolution occurs when the total combined runs exceed specified thresholds, ranging from 3.5 runs to 13.5 runs. Each threshold represents a separate market outcome, with Yes resolution triggered if the combined final score surpasses the stated threshold.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real money on outcomes. This market may price the total runs differently than traditional sportsbooks, offering traders an alternative view of the likely outcome. Comparing the two can reveal where the market sees value relative to conventional betting lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks for shares tied to the total runs outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective probability that traders assign to that outcome, ranging from near zero to near one dollar. As new information emerges or trader sentiment shifts, the price adjusts in real time. You can enter limit or market orders to trade at your preferred price point.
This market resolves around Jul 6, 2026, once the game concludes and the final combined run total is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official box score from the matchup. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The resolution is straightforward and based on publicly available game data.
Key catalysts include lineup announcements, starting pitcher confirmations, and injury updates for either team. Weather conditions at game time—wind speed and temperature—can significantly affect run scoring. Recent offensive and defensive performance trends, bullpen availability, and head-to-head matchup history all influence trader expectations. Breaking news about player availability or unexpected roster changes can trigger sharp price movements. As game time approaches, market activity typically intensifies as traders finalize positions.