TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 11:45 PM EST
Kalshi
The event involves a professional baseball game between two teams originally scheduled for a specific date and time. The key factor is whether the game lasts beyond its standard duration due to additional playing time. This extension depends on whether the game's conclusion requires more time than initially planned.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the San Diego vs Colorado professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 14, 2026 at 8:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks due to the different incentives and information sources driving each. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of informed traders. Discrepancies can arise from differing opinions on team strengths, injuries, or even weather conditions. If you find a significant difference between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook odds, it might indicate an opportunity for value betting, but remember both represent probabilities, not guarantees of the final outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and efficient price discovery process. The market's depth and liquidity, indicated by the volume traded, also influence the ease with which traders can enter and exit positions.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the San Diego vs Colorado game, specifically whether the game went to extra innings, will be used to determine the winning contract. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available, authoritative sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders should monitor these sources as the resolution date approaches to stay informed about the official result.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the San Diego or Colorado teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to one team's playing style, could also move the market. Unexpected lineup changes or even pre-game reports about team morale could influence traders' assessments. Monitoring these signals and their potential impact on the game's outcome is crucial for informed trading on Kalshi.