TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 1:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether either the San Diego or Cincinnati team will score a run in the first inning of their professional baseball game. Currently, the probability of Over 0.5 runs in the first inning is at 99.0% on Kalshi. Resolution will be determined by whether a run is scored in the first inning, as defined by the game originally scheduled for Sep 2, 2026 at 12:40 PM EDT. Keep a close eye on the start of the game on September 2, 2026, as the first inning’s outcome will immediately resolve this market.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the San Diego vs Cincinnati professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 2, 2026 at 12:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market resolves around Sep 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result depends solely on whether either team scores in the first inning of the scheduled game, a fact that becomes official once the inning concludes and is reported across major sports news outlets.
Key signals that could shift this market include last-minute pitching changes, weather delays affecting starter performance, or injury announcements for key batters. Any update that alters the expected run environment—such as a rainout forcing a backup pitcher—may cause rapid price swings. Additionally, early betting trends on Kalshi often preview larger movements as the first pitch approaches, especially if volume spikes above $401,127 in a short period.