TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 1, 7:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This resolves based on whether either the San Diego or Cincinnati team manages to score a run in the first inning of their scheduled matchup. The game's opening frames will be closely monitored for early-run production.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the San Diego vs Cincinnati professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 1, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price based on their expectations for whether a run will be scored in the first inning. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate wisdom of participants, with volume of $128,624 showing interest. Price fluctuations can be driven by news on starting pitchers, weather updates, or lineup changes that impact the early inning outlook.
This market resolves around Sep 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by whether either team scores a run in the first inning of the game, as officially recorded in the box score and widely reported game summaries.
Key signals that could shift this market include updates on starting pitchers, weather delays or changes, lineup announcements, and any pre-game injury reports. Unexpected developments such as a last-minute pitcher change or inclement weather could dramatically alter trader sentiment in the days leading up to the game, especially if they affect the likelihood of early scoring.