TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 3:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will win the professional baseball game between San Diego and Cincinnati. Currently, Kalshi gives Cincinnati a 95.0% probability of winning, while San Diego is at 4.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the San Diego vs Cincinnati game originally scheduled for Sep 2, 2026 at 12:40 PM EDT, as determined by the official game result. Keep an eye on September 2, 2026, as that is the date the game is currently scheduled to conclude and will determine the market’s resolution.
If San Diego wins the San Diego vs Cincinnati professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 2, 2026 at 12:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cincinnati wins the San Diego vs Cincinnati professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 2, 2026 at 12:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader speculation and real-time data inputs. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on analytics and historical performance, prediction markets let participants bet directly on outcomes, sometimes pricing in nuances or recent shifts not yet reflected in sportsbook odds.
On Kalshi, this market uses trader activity to set its current odds. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The probability reflects collective trader expectations about the upcoming San Diego vs Cincinnati matchup. Volume of $5,594,175 shows overall interest, while recent $5,577,414 indicates short-term momentum. Traders adjust positions based on shifting perceptions of team performance, injuries, and game dynamics, which naturally drives price fluctuations on the platform.
This market resolves around Sep 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the official game outcome, and the market settles accordingly once the data is publicly available and irreversible.
Between now and Sep 2, 2026, several factors may influence this market. Key team announcements — such as injuries, lineup changes, or coaching decisions — often shift trader sentiment. Performance in preceding games, especially against common opponents, can also reshape expectations. Media narratives and betting trends may contribute to short-term price swings, while any last-minute strategic updates could produce larger adjustments as the matchup approaches.