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405,232

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2,693

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5

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San Diego vs Chicago C: Team Total
predict
kalshi

How many runs will Chicago Cubs score vs San Diego on June 30, 2026?

Volume:
$14,262

Chicago C over 1.5 runs scored

 - Kalshi

Chicago C over 1.5 runs scored - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 1, 2026

Closed: Jun 30, 11:19 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Chicago C over 1.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,006
N/A
N/A
$3,002
Settled
Yes
kalshi

San Diego over 4.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,585
N/A
N/A
$2,210
Settled
Yes
kalshi

San Diego over 3.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,299
N/A
N/A
$973
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chicago C over 7.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,117
N/A
N/A
$841
Settled
Yes
kalshi

San Diego over 5.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$862
N/A
N/A
$564
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chicago C over 5.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$823
N/A
N/A
$656
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chicago C over 4.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$719
N/A
N/A
$719
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chicago C over 6.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$701
N/A
N/A
$407
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chicago C over 2.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$364
N/A
N/A
$278
Settled
Yes
kalshi

San Diego over 6.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$295
N/A
N/A
$272
Settled
Yes
kalshi

San Diego over 1.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$185
N/A
N/A
$179
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chicago C over 3.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$82
N/A
N/A
$82
Settled
Yes
kalshi

San Diego over 2.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$42
N/A
N/A
$41
Settled
Yes
predict

San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs

View
N/A
N/A
—
$430
$2,084
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

San Diego over 7.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$98
N/A
N/A
$95
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This event group covers a San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs MLB game with conflicting market structures across platforms. Predict offers a head-to-head winner market, while Kalshi offers team total run thresholds. The underlying game is the same, but the resolution mechanics and settlement values diverge significantly.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Market type divergence (winner vs. team totals) combined with scheduled date inconsistency (July 1 vs. June 30, 2026). Predict resolves on binary game outcome; Kalshi resolves on run threshold achievements. Kalshi lacks explicit edge-case language for cancellations or ties.Hero tip: Treat these as separate markets with different settlement mechanics. Confirm the official game date with MLB before trading. Predict's 50-50 tie/cancellation rule is explicit; Kalshi's is not. Monitor for schedule changes that could affect one or both markets differently.

Critical divergence points:

  • Predict: Binary winner market. Resolves to San Diego Padres if Padres win, Chicago Cubs if Cubs win. Scheduled July 1, 2:20 PM ET. If postponed, market stays open. If canceled with no makeup or tie, resolves 50-50. Primary source: official MLB statistics within 24 hours, or credible reporting consensus.
  • Kalshi: Team total run threshold markets. Resolves Yes if San Diego scores 2+, 3+, 4+, 5+, 6+, 7+, or 8+ runs, OR if Chicago C scores 2+, 3+, 4+, 5+, 6+, 7+, or 8+ runs. Scheduled June 30, 2026 at 8:05 PM EDT. No explicit cancellation or tie resolution language provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

Resolution depends on the individual run totals scored by each team in the San Diego vs Chicago C professional baseball game originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 8:05 PM EDT. Chicago C outcomes resolve based on runs scored by Chicago C alone, while San Diego outcomes resolve based on runs scored by San Diego alone. Each outcome corresponds to a specific run threshold for the respective team, with resolution occurring when that team's total exceeds the threshold. If the game is postponed or rescheduled, the rescheduled game determines the final run totals.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Chicago Cubs, scheduled for July 1 at 2:20PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price the same event differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets reflect pure crowd belief—traders put real money behind their conviction with no house edge. This market's odds may diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because prediction traders often incorporate live sentiment, sharp money flow, and real-time information faster than books adjust their spreads. Comparing both sources reveals where consensus is strongest and where outlier value might exist.

Kalshi and Predict can show different odds on the same team total because they serve distinct trader bases, use different market mechanics, and may have varying liquidity pools. Kalshi and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Platform design matters too: one may allow fractional shares while the other uses binary contracts, affecting how traders express conviction. Order flow timing, regional user preferences, and fee structures also influence where each platform's price settles. Savvy traders monitor both to spot arbitrage opportunities or to validate their thesis across independent prediction venues.

Key roster changes—injuries to star hitters or pitchers, trades, or late-game lineup adjustments—can shift expectations for team output significantly. Weather conditions, ballpark factors, and recent offensive trends also drive repricing. Momentum swings during the game itself, such as early runs or a pitching change, typically trigger sharp moves as traders update their models in real time. Pre-game news like lineup announcements or bullpen availability often spark volatility hours before first pitch. Monitor team news feeds and live game updates to stay ahead of market repricing.