TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 12:20 AM EST
Kalshi
These markets track various point-spread outcomes for an upcoming college football game between San Diego and Cal Poly. Each outcome represents a different threshold by which either team could win, allowing participants to speculate on the expected margin of victory.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential of the San Diego vs Cal Poly college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. If Cal Poly wins by exceeding the specified point threshold, the corresponding 'Yes' outcome resolves positively; if San Diego wins by exceeding its threshold, that 'Yes' outcome resolves. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point-spread thresholds listed.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of PredictionHero users. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a different assessment of probabilities. If you find a significant difference between the odds here and at a sportsbook, it might indicate an opportunity for value, depending on your own analysis of the game and the factors influencing the spread.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts for a particular spread, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions as the game approaches.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the San Diego vs Cal Poly game. The market will settle to 100 if the actual spread matches a contract's spread, and to 0 if it does not. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the San Diego or Cal Poly teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game's style of play, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team morale, coaching decisions, or even public sentiment could all contribute to fluctuations in the market as traders react to the latest information and adjust their predictions.