TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 4, 10:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether either San Diego or Arizona will score a run in the first inning of their professional baseball game scheduled for August 4, 2026. On Kalshi, the current probability of a run being scored is 62.0%, with resolution based on the game's official results. Watch for the first inning of the game on August 4, 2026, as this will determine the market outcome.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the San Diego vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 4, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market resolves around Aug 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result depends solely on which team scores the first run in the opening inning of the game, a fact that becomes official shortly after the first few pitches are thrown.
Several factors could shift probabilities in this market before Aug 5, 2026. Key pitching changes, weather conditions affecting gameplay, or early-game momentum swings may influence bettors' expectations. Injuries to star players or late lineup adjustments can also impact perceptions of scoring likelihood in the first inning. Additionally, any last-minute stadium announcements, such as bullpen changes or field conditions, might cause rapid shifts in trader positioning as the game approaches.