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400,720

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2,633

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5

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San Diego State vs. UCLA
polymarket
kalshi
predict

San Diego State vs. UCLA

Volume:
$2,245,794

UCLA

 - Kalshi

UCLA - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 13, 2026

Closed: Sep 12, 10:40 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

UCLA

View
100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$787,460
N/A
N/A
$451,279
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -13.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,653
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

View
100%
39%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,467
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -12.5

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,001
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -8.5

View
100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,797
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -14.5

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,141
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$427
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -11.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$320
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -10.5

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$241
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$182
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -0.5

View
100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$39
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -15.5

View
100%
58%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$31
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$26
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1Q Moneyline

View
50%
18%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
2¢
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

San Diego State vs. UCLA

View
9%
Yes 9¢No 91¢
—
$80
$234
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

San Diego St.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,094,942
N/A
N/A
$724,586
Settled
No
polymarket

San Diego State vs. UCLA

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$150,646
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 55.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$101,034
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 54.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$79,135
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 64.5

View
0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,309
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 58.5

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,208
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 53.5

View
0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,492
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 51.5

View
0%
58%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$503
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

UCLA O/U 31.5

View
0%
57%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$181
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 202

Intro

This market tracks the probability of Jaivian Thomas scoring an anytime touchdown in the San Diego State versus UCLA college football game. Currently, the aggregated consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Predict gives a 100.0% probability to this outcome. Resolution will be based on the official game outcome as reported by https://www.ncaa.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for September 12th, as the final score will determine whether Thomas reaches the endzone.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi defines a 'Yes' resolution for either team winning, creating a 'game happens' market, while Polymarket and Predict resolve to the specific winning team.Hero tip: Consider the implied probability of a tie in the Polymarket/Predict markets, as a tie results in a 50/50 split. Kalshi offers no such consideration.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either San Diego State or UCLA wins the game. "If UCLA wins the San Diego St. vs UCLA college football game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If San Diego St. wins the San Diego St. vs UCLA college football game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."
  • Polymarket: Resolves to either 'San Diego State' or 'UCLA' based on which team wins. "This market will resolve to "San Diego State" if San Diego State win the game. This market will resolve to "UCLA" if UCLA win the game."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between San Diego State and UCLA, scheduled for September 12 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego State" if San Diego State win the game. This market will resolve to "UCLA" if UCLA win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes for the specified team if they win the college football game originally scheduled for September 12, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Predict

In the upcoming college football game between San Diego State and UCLA, scheduled for September 12 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego State" if San Diego State win the game. This market will resolve to "UCLA" if UCLA win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the San Diego State vs. UCLA matchup market aggregates activity across multiple prediction venues, showing how traders price the contest’s outcome in real time. It displays current probabilities, total volume of $2,245,794, and 24-hour volume of $2,069,350 from all participating platforms. This gives you a live consensus view of market sentiment, highlighting any shifts as new game data, injuries, or lineup changes emerge. By tracking this market, users can see how collective wisdom evolves before the final whistle blows.

Key signals that could shift this market include injury reports for star players, changes in coaching strategy, and weather conditions on game day. Each update that alters the perceived likelihood of either team winning can cause rapid swings in pricing. Bettors should monitor official team announcements and preseason betting trends for early warning signs.