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San Diego State vs. Toledo
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of San Diego State vs Toledo?

Volume:
$1,617,134

Toledo

 - Kalshi

Toledo - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 26, 2026

Closed: Sep 26, 3:25 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Toledo

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$407,941
N/A
N/A
$233,099
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$63,921
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 50.5

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$28,751
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -14.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$20,218
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 48.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,722
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,356
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 56.5

View
100%
62%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,007
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 54.5

View
100%
58%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,870
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
100%
60%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,531
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

View
100%
68%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,339
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
100%
58%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,904
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -17.5

View
100%
86%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,225
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 46.5

View
100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,047
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,771
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -24.5

View
100%
87%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,444
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 52.5

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,065
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
100%
62%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,517
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 40.5

View
100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,411
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -10.5

View
100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,983
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -9.5

View
100%
71%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,756
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -1.5

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$260
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -12.5

View
100%
77%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -11.5

View
100%
75%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

3Q Spread -1.5

View
100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

San Diego State vs. Toledo

View
0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$691,810
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 216

Intro

This market tracks the total number of touchdowns scored by Toledo in their upcoming college football game against San Diego State. Currently, the consensus probability that Toledo will score over 3.5 touchdowns is 100.0%, as aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi. Resolution will be based on the official results reported by https://www.ncaa.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for September 26th, as the final score will determine the outcome of this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Significant divergence in market types and resolution criteria. Kalshi offers a basic win/loss market, while Polymarket offers a comprehensive suite of spread, over/under, and team total markets.Hero tip: Prioritize Polymarket markets for more nuanced trading strategies. Kalshi markets are essentially binary outcome bets.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves markets based on official game statistics, including point spreads, over/unders, and team totals. Example: "This market will resolve to "Over" if San Diego State and Toledo combine to score 31 or more points in this game."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either team wins the game, regardless of the score. Example: "If Toledo wins the San Diego St. vs Toledo college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If San Diego St. wins the San Diego St. vs Toledo college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between San Diego State and Toledo, scheduled for September 26 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego State" if San Diego State win the game. This market will resolve to "Toledo" if Toledo win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes for the respective team if they win the San Diego St. vs Toledo college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the SDSU vs. Toledo game from multiple platforms, currently Polymarket and Kalshi. It displays a consensus view of the probabilities for various outcomes, reflecting the collective wisdom of the crowd. Total volume across these platforms is $1,617,134, with $1,569,529 traded in the last 24 hours. By tracking these markets, you can gain insights into how traders perceive the likelihood of different results for this college football matchup. The dashboard provides a comprehensive overview of market sentiment.

Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the pure probability assessment of traders. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. Prediction markets can sometimes identify mispriced opportunities that sportsbooks miss, as traders are incentivized to find and exploit inefficiencies. However, both offer valuable information for those looking to understand the potential outcomes of the SDSU vs. Toledo game.