TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
San Diego State Aztecs vs. New Mexico Lobos
Volume:
$1,148,092
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between San Diego State Aztecs and New Mexico Lobos scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Multiple prediction markets cover the moneyline outcome, point spread variations, and total points over/under thresholds.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (New Mexico win or San Diego State win) are specified to resolve to Yes, creating an unresolvable market structure. Polymarket provides a proper binary resolution framework.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market as written - it is logically broken. Use Polymarket's moneyline for clean binary exposure. Spread and total markets on both platforms are internally consistent and can be traded with confidence using final score including overtime as the settlement basis.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states: If New Mexico wins → Yes; If San Diego St. wins → Yes. Both outcomes resolve identically to Yes, leaving no resolution path for No. This violates binary market logic.
- Polymarket: Moneyline market resolves to San Diego State Aztecs if they win, or New Mexico Lobos if they win. Clear binary outcome with 50-50 cancellation clause if game is canceled with no makeup.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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