TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

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2,388,728,490

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$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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San Diego State Aztecs vs. New Mexico Lobos
kalshi
polymarket

San Diego State Aztecs vs. New Mexico Lobos

Volume:
$1,148,092

New Mexico

 - Kalshi

New Mexico - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 1, 2026

Closed: Feb 28, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

New Mexico

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$512,773
N/A
N/A
$378,262
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,205
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 149.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$905
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 148.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$426
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$311
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

San Diego St.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$523,215
N/A
N/A
$402,962
Settled
No
polymarket

San Diego State Aztecs vs. New Mexico Lobos

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$109,256
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

A men's college basketball game between San Diego State Aztecs and New Mexico Lobos scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Multiple prediction markets cover the moneyline outcome, point spread variations, and total points over/under thresholds.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (New Mexico win or San Diego State win) are specified to resolve to Yes, creating an unresolvable market structure. Polymarket provides a proper binary resolution framework.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market as written - it is logically broken. Use Polymarket's moneyline for clean binary exposure. Spread and total markets on both platforms are internally consistent and can be traded with confidence using final score including overtime as the settlement basis.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market states: If New Mexico wins → Yes; If San Diego St. wins → Yes. Both outcomes resolve identically to Yes, leaving no resolution path for No. This violates binary market logic.
  • Polymarket: Moneyline market resolves to San Diego State Aztecs if they win, or New Mexico Lobos if they win. Clear binary outcome with 50-50 cancellation clause if game is canceled with no makeup.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.