TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 10:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting whether the total points scored by both teams in a specific college football game will exceed various thresholds. Each market corresponds to a different point total benchmark, allowing participants to assess the potential scoring output of the game.
All markets resolve based on whether the combined score of San Diego State and UCLA in their college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026, exceeds specified thresholds. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final official score. If the game does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Each individual market has a unique threshold, ranging from just over 28 points to more than 70 points, and resolves to 'Yes' only if the actual total exceeds that specific benchmark. The markets are independent, meaning the outcome of one does not affect the others, though they are all contingent on the same game occurring under the stated conditions. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all team names and logos remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders' willingness to buy or sell contracts. Often, you’ll find that this market incorporates information and perspectives that aren't immediately reflected in traditional betting lines. It’s a good practice to compare both to get a broader understanding of the potential outcome and perceived probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point totals for the San Diego St vs UCLA game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific point total occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price movements. The goal is to accurately predict the final points total and profit from correctly anticipating the market’s direction.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final points total scored in the San Diego St vs UCLA game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting a point total equal to or above the actual total will pay $100, while those predicting a lower total will expire worthless. It’s important to monitor the game's progress and official results to understand the final outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the San Diego St or UCLA teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring a high- or low-scoring game, could also impact trading activity. Public perception and analysis from sports commentators can also shift sentiment and drive price fluctuations. Finally, large volume trades from informed participants could signal shifts in expectations and move the market.