TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 10:16 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two college football teams in a specific game, focusing on how many times each team scores traditional touchdowns. The outcomes depend on whether each team reaches certain threshold numbers of touchdowns during the match. The event considers all scoring plays that count toward the official game result, including those that occur in overtime periods.
The event evaluates multiple markets based on the total number of touchdowns scored by each team in the San Diego St. vs UCLA college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific touchdown threshold for either UCLA or San Diego St., resolving to 'Yes' if the team meets or exceeds its designated threshold. Touchdowns scored during overtime count toward the total, but successful two-point conversions—whether in regulation or overtime—do not count. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve based on the final official result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game completion. These rules apply uniformly across all markets associated with this event.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, whereas this market allows traders to openly express their beliefs about the likely outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, risk assessments, or simply the dynamic nature of trading activity. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total touchdowns scored by each team. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices suggesting a greater likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The market dynamically adjusts as traders react to news, injuries, and other relevant information, creating a real-time assessment of the potential game result.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final team total touchdowns for both San Diego St. and UCLA are verifiable from credible public reporting following the conclusion of the game. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by recognized sports data providers. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances after the market is officially settled, and any winning contracts will be paid out accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either San Diego St. or UCLA would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for a high-scoring or low-scoring game, could also shift expectations. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could also contribute to price fluctuations. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a shift in sentiment and move this market.