TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 9:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two college football teams in making field goals during their scheduled matchup. It focuses on whether each team achieves specific minimum numbers of successful field goal attempts throughout the game, including any overtime periods.
All markets resolve based on the official number of made field goals by each team during the San Diego St. vs UCLA college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026, including any overtime periods. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Each market has a specific threshold for the number of made field goals required for UCLA or San Diego St. to trigger a 'Yes' outcome, with thresholds ranging from 1 to 3+ made field goals per team.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate that prediction market participants have access to or interpret information differently than those setting sportsbook odds. It’s a valuable comparison point for anyone analyzing the potential result of the San Diego St vs UCLA game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different field goal totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the likelihood of various results. The current price indicates what the collective market believes is the fair probability of the specified field goal total happening in the game.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final field goal totals for both San Diego St. and UCLA are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring an objective determination of the winning contracts. The platform will then distribute payouts to traders who correctly predicted the field goal totals. It’s important to monitor the game closely as it progresses, as any changes in field goal scoring will directly impact the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either San Diego St. or UCLA would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly wind, could also impact field goal attempts and shift trader sentiment. In-game performance, such as early scoring drives or missed field goals, will undoubtedly drive price fluctuations. Furthermore, any late-breaking analysis from sports analysts or unexpected betting trends could also contribute to shifts in this market’s pricing.