TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 10:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in the final quarter of a college football game between San Diego State and UCLA. It highlights the importance of late-game performance and momentum shifts that can occur in the last period of play.
If UCLA wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the San Diego St. vs UCLA college football game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If San Diego St. wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the San Diego St. vs UCLA college football game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the San Diego St. vs UCLA college football game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy emerges between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate that the crowd perceives information differently than the bookmakers. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are formed through distinct mechanisms and may react to news and events at different speeds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective assessment of that outcome's likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic and real-time indication of expectations for the San Diego St vs UCLA 4th quarter. The closer we get to the event, the more the price will likely reflect the perceived certainty of the result.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the conclusion of the 4th quarter will be declared the winner for the purposes of this market. It’s important to note that the official game results will be used to determine the outcome, and any disputes regarding the game’s final score will be resolved based on the official record. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game results to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected team performance in preceding games could all shift trader sentiment. Significant media coverage or public opinion swings could also play a role. Furthermore, real-time developments during the game itself – such as key turnovers, scoring drives, or defensive stops – will undoubtedly cause rapid price fluctuations as traders react to the unfolding events and adjust their predictions for the San Diego St vs UCLA 4th quarter.