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San Diego St. vs Toledo: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of San Diego St. vs Toledo?

Volume:
$938,961

Toledo wins by over 2.5 points

 - Kalshi

Toledo wins by over 2.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 26, 2026

Closed: Sep 26, 3:25 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Toledo wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$231,629
N/A
N/A
$196,114
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Toledo wins by over 3.5 points

100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$125,095
N/A
N/A
$112,521
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Toledo wins by over 17.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$91,606
N/A
N/A
$82,332
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Toledo wins by over 16.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$87,923
N/A
N/A
$73,192
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Toledo wins by over 14.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$66,021
N/A
N/A
$60,179
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Toledo wins by over 6.5 points

100%
63%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$46,503
N/A
N/A
$34,281
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Toledo wins by over 4.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$33,024
N/A
N/A
$20,840
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Toledo wins by over 5.5 points

100%
58%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$24,818
N/A
N/A
$15,966
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Toledo wins by over 7.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$17,958
N/A
N/A
$12,273
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Toledo wins by over 23.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$16,613
N/A
N/A
$13,889
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Toledo wins by over 1.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$14,329
N/A
N/A
$11,252
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Toledo wins by over 13.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,528
N/A
N/A
$9,517
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Toledo wins by over 9.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,662
N/A
N/A
$6,101
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Toledo wins by over 20.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,426
N/A
N/A
$2,677
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Toledo wins by over 11.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,424
N/A
N/A
$3,820
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Toledo wins by over 10.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,326
N/A
N/A
$2,595
Settled
Yes
kalshi

San Diego St. wins by over 20.5 points

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$46,443
N/A
N/A
$46,074
Settled
No
kalshi

San Diego St. wins by over 17.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$32,622
N/A
N/A
$32,614
Settled
No
kalshi

San Diego St. wins by over 1.5 points

0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,440
N/A
N/A
$14,378
Settled
No
kalshi

Toledo wins by over 26.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,105
N/A
N/A
$8,935
Settled
No
kalshi

San Diego St. wins by over 2.5 points

0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,233
N/A
N/A
$11,954
Settled
No
kalshi

Toledo wins by over 35.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,265
N/A
N/A
$6,265
Settled
No
kalshi

Toledo wins by over 32.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,272
N/A
N/A
$2,035
Settled
No
kalshi

Toledo wins by over 29.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,849
N/A
N/A
$1,803
Settled
No
kalshi

San Diego St. wins by over 3.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,582
N/A
N/A
$1,384
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 36

Intro

This market tracks whether Toledo will win the college football game against San Diego State by more than 2.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives Toledo winning by over 2.5 points a 99.0% probability. Resolution will be determined based on the final score of the San Diego St. vs Toledo game, as defined by the point differential if San Diego St. wins by more than 13.5 points. Keep a close watch on the game itself, scheduled for September 26, 2026, as the outcome will be determined by the final score at the end of the game on that date.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the official final result of the San Diego State vs Toledo college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. If San Diego State wins, markets resolve to Yes if their victory margin exceeds the specified point threshold; if Toledo wins, markets resolve to Yes if their victory margin exceeds the threshold. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point differential conditions outlined in individual markets.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the San Diego St vs Toledo spread tracks the current price of contracts representing different point spreads for the game. You can view the historical price action, allowing you to analyze how the market has moved over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $800,924, and the total overall volume traded in this market, which is $938,961. This provides insight into the level of interest and activity surrounding the San Diego St vs Toledo spread.

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with, but sometimes diverging from, traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on analysis and aiming for balanced action, while this market represents the collective prediction of traders on Kalshi. If a significant difference exists, it could indicate that market participants believe the sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. It's important to note that prediction markets allow for trading up to the event's resolution, potentially leading to odds movements that differ from fixed-odds sportsbooks.

This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the San Diego St vs Toledo game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sports authority. Traders who correctly predicted the final spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution. The market will close prior to the game's completion, allowing time for accurate verification of the result.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 26, 2026. Any significant news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected weather conditions impacting game day could all shift trader sentiment. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in market outlook, causing the price to move. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.