TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 2:00 AM EST
Kalshi
The number of regular season wins by the San Diego Padres in the 2026 Major League Baseball season, with resolution across multiple win thresholds.
San Diego's 2026 regular season performance is evaluated across seven win thresholds. The team's final win total determines resolution, with each threshold representing a progressively higher achievement level. Only official wins count toward the total; tied games are excluded from the win count.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets are driven by participants’ willingness to buy or sell contracts based on their beliefs about the Padres’ performance. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information and insights, potentially exceeding the responsiveness of traditional odds.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final regular season win total for the San Diego Padres is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official Major League Baseball standings and publicly available game results. The market will determine whether the Padres achieve a win total above or below the thresholds defined in the available contracts at the time of resolution. Traders will then be paid out based on the final outcome and their positions in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major player injuries to key Padres players, significant changes in the team’s coaching staff, or unexpected performance from division rivals would all likely cause price fluctuations. Trading activity and news related to the Padres’ performance, such as winning or losing streaks, could also move the market. Furthermore, any updates to long-term projections from baseball analysts or changes in public sentiment regarding the team’s chances could influence trading behavior and shift the odds in this market.