TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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San Diego pro baseball wins this season?
kalshi

San Diego pro baseball wins this season?

Volume:
$95,626

85+ wins

 - Kalshi

85+ wins - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 19, 2:00 AM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

85+ wins

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$35,637
N/A
N/A
$19,135
1mo 1w 2d
Yes
kalshi

90+ wins

100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$28,958
N/A
N/A
$12,883
1mo 1w 2d
Yes
kalshi

80+ wins

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$22,415
N/A
N/A
$7,523
1mo 1w 2d
Yes
kalshi

75+ wins

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,808
N/A
N/A
$2,901
1mo 1w 2d
Yes
kalshi

95+ wins

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,105
N/A
N/A
$1,152
1mo 1w 2d
No
kalshi

105+ wins

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$902
N/A
N/A
$752
1mo 1w 2d
No
kalshi

100+ wins

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$801
N/A
N/A
$540
1mo 1w 2d
No
Total markets: 7

Description

The number of regular season wins by the San Diego Padres in the 2026 Major League Baseball season, with resolution across multiple win thresholds.

Kalshi

San Diego's 2026 regular season performance is evaluated across seven win thresholds. The team's final win total determines resolution, with each threshold representing a progressively higher achievement level. Only official wins count toward the total; tied games are excluded from the win count.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the San Diego Padres win total tracks the current odds of various outcomes related to their season performance. You’ll find the price reflecting the probability of the team achieving different win totals, along with a history of how those prices have changed over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume of $255, offering insight into recent market activity. Currently, total volume for this market is $95,626, indicating significant interest in predicting the Padres’ success.

Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets are driven by participants’ willingness to buy or sell contracts based on their beliefs about the Padres’ performance. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information and insights, potentially exceeding the responsiveness of traditional odds.

This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final regular season win total for the San Diego Padres is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official Major League Baseball standings and publicly available game results. The market will determine whether the Padres achieve a win total above or below the thresholds defined in the available contracts at the time of resolution. Traders will then be paid out based on the final outcome and their positions in this market.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major player injuries to key Padres players, significant changes in the team’s coaching staff, or unexpected performance from division rivals would all likely cause price fluctuations. Trading activity and news related to the Padres’ performance, such as winning or losing streaks, could also move the market. Furthermore, any updates to long-term projections from baseball analysts or changes in public sentiment regarding the team’s chances could influence trading behavior and shift the odds in this market.