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San Diego Padres vs. Tampa Bay Rays
polymarket
kalshi
predict

Who will win San Diego Padres vs Tampa Bay Rays?

Volume:
$2,828,244

Tampa Bay

 - Kalshi

Tampa Bay - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 30, 2026

Closed: Aug 28, 9:49 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tampa Bay

View
100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,004,166
N/A
N/A
$624,458
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 7.5

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$145,916
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NRFI

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$14,539
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 6.5

View
100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,302
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 8.5

View
100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,677
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 11.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 12.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

San Diego Padres vs. Tampa Bay Rays

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$75,764
$33,586
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

San Diego Padres vs. Tampa Bay Rays

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$236,686
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

San Diego

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,337,668
N/A
N/A
$884,371
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37,385
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,364
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,485
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,236
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 13.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 14.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Extra Innings

View
0%
92%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 27

Intro

This market tracks whether the San Diego Padres versus Tampa Bay Rays MLB game scheduled for August 29 will go to extra innings. The aggregated consensus probability for the game going to extra innings stands at 50.0%, drawing data from Polymarket, Kalshi, and Predict, with resolution based on official MLB statistics or credible reporting consensus. The Tampa Bay Rays spread outcome at -1.5 has a probability of 10.0%. Watch the game on August 29 for the definitive outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use the same core resolution logic based on official MLB statistics or credible reporting consensus for game outcomes and first-inning run scoring.Primary resolution logic: Official MLB statistics or credible reporting consensus

Core resolution logic:

  • The winning team is determined by the official final score after the full game (including extra innings if necessary)
  • First-inning runs are counted based on the official box score for the top and bottom of the first inning
  • Postponed games remain open until completed; canceled games with no makeup resolve 50-50

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: Markets remain open until the game is rescheduled and completed
  • Cancellation: Markets resolve 50-50 if the game is canceled with no makeup date
  • Tie after regulation: Markets resolve based on the official result after any extra innings played
Timing: Resolution occurs within 24 hours of the game's conclusion, using official MLB statistics or credible reporting consensusOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for August 29 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the winner of the San Diego vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game scheduled for August 28, 2026. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open until the rescheduled game concludes within two days of the original date. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days beyond the original date, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for August 29 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Padres vs. Rays matchup market aggregates data across multiple venues, showing real-time consensus views and odds. It tracks how traders on different platforms price this market, highlighting any shifts in expected outcomes. You can see total volume of $2,828,244 and 24-hour volume of $2,778,699, offering a snapshot of overall interest. This cross-platform view helps you spot trends and divergences before the event unfolds.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through trader activity, often reflecting sharper or earlier shifts than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks incorporate broader public betting and adjusted margins, prediction markets let participants bet directly on probabilities, sometimes producing tighter or more volatile odds. The gap can widen further depending on unique trader insights or recent performance data influencing this market.