TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals
polymarket
kalshi
predict

San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Volume:
$606,032

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

 - Polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 17, 2026

Closed: Jun 16, 7:45 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.8¢
N/A
$124
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$69
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$36
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$337,050
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals

View
N/A
N/A
—
$5,623
$9,690
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Yes

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$154,323
N/A
N/A
$129,881
Settled
No
polymarket

NRFI

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$483
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$49,388
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 7.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,404
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,279
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 5.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,599
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,444
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,690
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 11.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,508
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,477
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,390
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 6.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,023
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$791
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$635
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$277
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Extra Innings

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$150
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$121
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 28

Description

This event group covers an MLB game between the San Diego Padres and St. Louis Cardinals scheduled for June 16, 2026 at 7:45 PM ET. Markets track both the overall game winner and whether a run will be scored in the first inning. Resolution depends on official MLB final statistics.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Date/time mismatch between Kalshi (June 15, 7:45 PM EDT) and Polymarket (June 16, 7:45 PM ET) creates ambiguity about whether markets reference the same game. First-inning resolution logic is otherwise consistent across platforms.Hero tip: Cross-reference the official MLB schedule for Padres vs. Cardinals in mid-June 2026. If both dates reference the same game (likely a data entry error on one platform), markets are functionally unified on first-inning and game-winner logic. If they reference different games, treat as separate events and do not arbitrage between platforms.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Game scheduled June 16, 2026 at 7:45 PM ET. First-inning market resolves Yes if at least one run scored by either team in the 1st inning; No if zero runs. Game winner resolves to Padres or Cardinals; 50-50 if canceled with no makeup. Primary source: official MLB final statistics within 24 hours, or credible reporting consensus if delayed.
  • Kalshi: Game scheduled June 15, 2026 at 7:45 PM EDT (one day earlier). First-inning market resolves Yes if either team scores a run in the first inning. No explicit game-winner market listed in source data. Primary source not explicitly stated.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and St. Louis Cardinals, scheduled for June 16 at 7:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

If either team scores a run in the first inning of the San Diego vs St. Louis professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 15, 2026 at 7:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and St. Louis Cardinals, scheduled for June 16 at 7:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate independently of traditional sportsbooks, often reflecting different liquidity pools, trader demographics, and risk appetites. While sportsbooks set odds to balance liability, prediction markets aggregate decentralized trader beliefs in real time. For the San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals, prediction market odds may diverge from sportsbook lines due to different information sets, fee structures, and market depth. Comparing both sources can reveal arbitrage opportunities or consensus shifts before official odds adjust.

Key catalysts include lineup announcements, starting pitcher confirmation, late-breaking injuries, and weather conditions at game time. Trades or roster moves involving either team can shift market sentiment. Real-time in-game events—runs, errors, substitutions—will drive rapid repricing of live markets. Pre-game betting action and sharp money flowing into Polymarket or Kalshi often signal informed positioning. Monitor team news, Vegas line movement, and social sentiment to anticipate prediction market shifts before the San Diego Padres and St. Louis Cardinals take the field.