TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-25 02:10 UTC: If the San Diego Padres win, the market will resolve to "San Diego Padres". If the Los Angeles Dodgers win, the market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-25 02:10 UTC: If the San Diego Padres win, the market will resolve to "San Diego Padres". If the Los Angeles Dodgers win, the market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds to ensure profitability, which can slightly distort the implied probabilities. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders, aims to represent the true probability of an outcome as perceived by those willing to put their money behind it. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on public perception, this market can quickly adjust based on informed trading activity and new information.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, ultimately reflecting the collective prediction of the crowd. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will rise. Conversely, if traders believe an outcome is unlikely, the price will fall. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market odds are constantly updated to reflect the latest information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Padres-Dodgers game, as officially recorded, will determine the winning contract. The resolution process relies on widely available and trusted sources to ensure an accurate and transparent outcome. Traders will be able to view the confirmed result on Opinion following the conclusion of the game and subsequent verification.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, starting pitcher changes, or significant weather forecasts could all lead to price movements. Unexpected lineup announcements or reports on team morale could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, as the game approaches, any late-breaking information or analysis from baseball experts could sway opinions and drive trading volume, potentially leading to substantial shifts in the probabilities reflected in this market.