TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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All
Sports
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
polymarket
predict
opinion

Who will win San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers?

Volume:
$1,083,184

San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

all

3 markets

Polymarket

Predict

Opinion

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 24, 2026

Closed: Sep 24, 1:35 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

View
100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$671,976
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 2h 50m
Yes
predict

San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

99%
65%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$11,375
$170,247
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

100%
76%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,046
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 5.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,940
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

100%
83%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,252
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,029
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$354
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$123
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

100%
82%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$32
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

100%
23%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.4¢
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$118,882
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 8.5

0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37,560
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 7.5

0%
56%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,832
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,498
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 9.5

0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,099
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 6.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,329
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NRFI

0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$584
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 2h 50m
No
polymarket

Los Angeles Dodgers O/U 6.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$129
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$116
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Los Angeles Dodgers O/U 3.5

0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$59
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Los Angeles Dodgers O/U 2.5

0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$57
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Los Angeles Dodgers O/U 4.5

0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 33

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the San Diego Padres versus Los Angeles Dodgers baseball game, specifically whether the San Diego Padres will win by a margin of more than 4.5 runs. Currently, the consensus probability of the San Diego Padres (-4.5) winning is 10.0%. This aggregated view combines data from Polymarket, Predict, and Opinion, and will resolve based on official MLB statistics as reported on https://www.mlb.com/. Keep an eye on the game scheduled for September 23rd, as the result will likely drive market closure, with final resolution expected by 2026-10-01.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms utilize MLB.com as the primary resolution source and share identical logic for determining the winner and handling postponements, cancellations, and ties.Primary resolution logic: https://www.mlb.com/

Core resolution logic:

  • The winner of the game (Padres or Dodgers) will determine the market outcome.
  • Postponed games will remain open until completed.
  • Cancelled games or ties will resolve to a 50-50 split.
  • The 'run in first inning' market resolves to 'Yes' if at least one run is scored in the first inning by either team, and 'No' otherwise.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Delayed Reporting: If official MLB statistics are not published within 24 hours, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
  • Makeup Game: If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the makeup game is completed. Check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for makeup game details.
Timing: Resolution will occur after the official completion of the game, as reported by MLB.com.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for September 23 at 10:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for September 23 at 10:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Opinion

In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-23 02:10 UTC: If the San Diego Padres win, the market will resolve to "San Diego Padres". If the Los Angeles Dodgers win, the market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates forecasts for the Padres-Dodgers game from multiple prediction markets, including Polymarket and Predict. It provides a consensus view of potential outcomes, currently showing a combined volume of $1,083,184 across all tracked platforms. This allows users to see where the 'wisdom of the crowd' stands on various aspects of the game. The dashboard aims to present a comprehensive overview, reflecting the collective predictions of diverse traders. We track the probabilities and volume associated with different outcomes to offer a clear picture of market sentiment surrounding this matchup.

Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources involved. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets reflect the aggregate beliefs of informed traders. This market, for example, may show a different probability for a specific outcome than a sportsbook due to unique insights held by participants. Furthermore, prediction markets typically have lower transaction costs and allow for more nuanced betting strategies, potentially leading to more efficient price discovery. While both aim to predict the outcome, the mechanisms and participant motivations create distinct pricing dynamics.