TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 24, 1:35 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the outcome of the San Diego Padres versus Los Angeles Dodgers baseball game, specifically whether the San Diego Padres will win by a margin of more than 4.5 runs. Currently, the consensus probability of the San Diego Padres (-4.5) winning is 10.0%. This aggregated view combines data from Polymarket, Predict, and Opinion, and will resolve based on official MLB statistics as reported on https://www.mlb.com/. Keep an eye on the game scheduled for September 23rd, as the result will likely drive market closure, with final resolution expected by 2026-10-01.
In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for September 23 at 10:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for September 23 at 10:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-23 02:10 UTC: If the San Diego Padres win, the market will resolve to "San Diego Padres". If the Los Angeles Dodgers win, the market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources involved. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets reflect the aggregate beliefs of informed traders. This market, for example, may show a different probability for a specific outcome than a sportsbook due to unique insights held by participants. Furthermore, prediction markets typically have lower transaction costs and allow for more nuanced betting strategies, potentially leading to more efficient price discovery. While both aim to predict the outcome, the mechanisms and participant motivations create distinct pricing dynamics.