TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 23, 1:10 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the total runs scored by the San Diego Padres in their game against the Los Angeles Dodgers. Currently, the consensus probability that the Padres will score Over/Under 4.5 runs is 100.0%. This aggregation combines data from Polymarket and Predict, with resolution based on Official MLB statistics (mlb.com). Keep an eye on the game itself on September 22nd, as the outcome of this market will depend on the Padres’ performance during that contest.
In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for September 22 at 10:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for September 22 at 10:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds, like those you see here, often reflect a different kind of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of a diverse group of traders. As a result, prediction markets can sometimes be more accurate forecasters of event outcomes. The difference often stems from the incentive structure; prediction market participants are directly incentivized to predict correctly, whereas sportsbooks are incentivized to profit. It's a fascinating comparison to observe.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in starting pitchers, or even weather forecasts could cause shifts in probabilities. Unexpected performance in preceding games by either team could also influence trader sentiment. Major announcements related to team strategy or management decisions could also be catalysts. Monitoring these signals and how they are interpreted by the crowd is key to understanding potential market movements in this market.