TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
predict
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers?

Volume:
$2,815,437

San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 6, 2026

Closed: Jul 12, 7:20 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,415,494
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

View
N/A
N/A
—
$5,109
$11,200
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$11,842
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,959
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,875
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,063
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$159
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 7.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$374,533
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$345,474
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Yes

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$296,952
N/A
N/A
$222,249
Settled
No
polymarket

NRFI

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,510
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$264,146
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,820
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,523
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,198
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,866
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$605
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$481
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$455
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$390
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$342
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$121
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$119
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$117
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 28

Intro

This event group tracks the outcome of an MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 7:20 PM ET, including the game winner and whether a run will be scored in the first inning. The aggregated consensus across Predict, Kalshi, and Polymarket shows 100.0% probability for the event occurring as scheduled. Resolution will be determined by official MLB final statistics published on mlb.com. Watch for any game cancellations or postponements, as these would trigger alternative settlement rules across the platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Date and time discrepancy between platforms (Polymarket/Predict on July 5 at 7:20 PM ET vs Kalshi on July 4 at 10:10 PM EDT), combined with different market scopes (game winner vs first-inning run only) and incomplete edge-case documentation on Kalshi.Hero tip: Cross-reference the official MLB schedule to confirm the actual game date and time. If Kalshi references a genuinely different game or time slot, treat it as a separate market. For Polymarket and Predict markets, both align on resolution logic; prioritize MLB.com official statistics as the primary source.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Game winner market (Padres vs Dodgers) scheduled July 5 at 7:20 PM ET. Resolves to winning team or 50-50 if canceled/no makeup/tie. First-inning run market also on same date/time. Primary source: official MLB final statistics within 24 hours, or credible reporting consensus if delayed.
  • Predict: Game winner market (Padres vs Dodgers) scheduled July 5 at 7:20 PM ET. Identical resolution logic to Polymarket: winning team or 50-50 if canceled/no makeup/tie. Primary source: official MLB final statistics within 24 hours, or credible reporting consensus if delayed.
  • Kalshi: First-inning run market only, scheduled July 4 at 10:10 PM EDT (different date/time from other platforms). Resolves Yes if either team scores in first inning. No explicit cancellation or tie handling documented.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for July 5 at 7:20PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

If either team scores a run in the first inning of the San Diego vs Los Angeles D professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 4, 2026 at 10:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for July 5 at 7:20PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price events differently because they operate on distinct mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets rely on trader consensus—the collective belief of participants buying and selling shares. This market reflects what thousands of traders think will happen, often incorporating real-time information faster than traditional books adjust. However, sportsbook odds may include sharper professional action and tighter margins. Comparing the two can reveal where public sentiment diverges from professional consensus, creating potential arbitrage or hedging opportunities.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, all of which influence price discovery. Polymarket may have deeper liquidity in this particular matchup, allowing larger positions to move prices less dramatically, while Kalshi might see concentrated trading from a smaller but equally conviction-driven group. Platform-specific UI design, user geography, and promotional incentives also shape order flow. These differences typically narrow as the event approaches and arbitrageurs exploit spreads, but they can persist if one platform has significantly more volume or different risk appetites among its user base.

Key catalysts include roster changes or injury announcements affecting either team's starting lineup, recent performance trends, head-to-head historical matchups, and weather conditions on game day. Bullpen depth, home-field advantage, and playoff implications (if applicable) also influence trader positioning. Live in-game developments—early scoring, ejections, or momentum shifts—typically drive the sharpest price moves as bettors react in real time. Pre-game news such as lineup confirmations, umpire assignments, or unexpected trades can trigger repricing hours before first pitch. Monitoring sports news and team social media alongside this market helps you stay ahead of sentiment changes.