TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals
predict
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win San Diego Padres vs Kansas City Royals?

Volume:
$6,715,890

Kansas City

 - Kalshi

Kansas City - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 18, 2026

Closed: Jul 17, 11:19 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Kansas City

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,252,918
N/A
N/A
$1,100,542
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$27,766
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,790
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 7.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,553
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,283
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$861
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$269
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Extra Innings

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$118
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$31
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 11.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 12.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$2,117
$11,757
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$479,267
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

San Diego

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,891,192
N/A
N/A
$2,082,677
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,444
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,639
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NRFI

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,915
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,016
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$512
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$150
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$95
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$84
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$70
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 27

Intro

This market tracks the total runs scored in the MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Kansas City Royals scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 8:10 PM ET. The aggregated consensus across Predict, Kalshi, and Polymarket shows 100.0% probability for the Over/Under 10.5 runs outcome, with resolution determined by official MLB records. Watch for the final game result on July 17, 2026, as the actual run total will settle all positions in this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: the Yes condition (San Diego wins OR Kansas City wins) covers all standard game outcomes, leaving the No resolution undefined and unresolvable. Polymarket and Predict use consistent binary winner logic, but Kalshi's structure breaks the resolution framework.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market until clarification is provided. Request explicit confirmation from Kalshi whether Yes should apply to only one team, or whether No is reserved for cancellation/tie only. The current wording makes it impossible to determine a valid No resolution.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary winner market: resolves to San Diego Padres if they win, Kansas City Royals if they win. Cancellation/tie/no makeup game resolves 50-50. Primary source: official MLB statistics or credible consensus within 24 hours.
  • Predict: Binary winner market: resolves to San Diego Padres if they win, Kansas City Royals if they win. Cancellation/tie/no makeup game resolves 50-50. Primary source: official MLB statistics or credible consensus within 24 hours.
  • Kalshi: Yes/No format with contradictory logic: 'If San Diego wins...then Yes. If Kansas City wins...then Yes.' No resolution condition is absent, making the market logically incomplete and unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for July 17 at 8:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the official result of the San Diego vs Kansas City professional baseball game originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game finishes within two days. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for July 17 at 8:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market activity across Polymarket and Predict for the Padres vs. Royals matchup, letting you monitor real-time odds on multiple outcomes tied to the game. Traders on both platforms are pricing various scenarios—from first-inning scoring to final-game results—creating a cross-venue view of consensus expectations. The combined volume across these platforms reflects how many traders are actively positioning on this event, giving you a sense of market conviction and liquidity depth for each outcome.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets rely on trader consensus to discover prices. This market's odds reflect what thousands of independent traders believe will happen, often incorporating real-time information faster than traditional sportsbooks adjust their lines. Comparing the two can reveal where public perception diverges from bookmaker pricing, though both should be viewed as estimates rather than certainties.

Key catalysts include roster changes, injury reports, weather conditions, and recent team performance trends leading up to game day. Betting line movements at major sportsbooks often precede shifts in prediction markets, so tracking those can provide early signals. Breaking news about player availability, coaching decisions, or venue factors may trigger rapid repricing. Additionally, as the game approaches, historical patterns and late-breaking statistics typically influence trader positioning, so staying alert to sports news will help you anticipate market moves.