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$134.1b

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$133,388,117

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405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians
predict
polymarket
opinion
kalshi

Who will win San Diego Padres vs Cleveland Guardians?

Volume:
$859,156

San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians

all

3 markets

Polymarket

Predict

Opinion

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 15, 2026

Closed: Aug 14, 10:15 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$285,148
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians

View
99%
53%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$26,957
$48,521
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

San Diego Padres vs Cleveland Guardians

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 7.5

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$241,502
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Yes

View
100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$193,558
N/A
N/A
$167,550
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
67%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$18,038
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 6.5

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$16,136
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 8.5

View
100%
60%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$12,351
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 11.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,842
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$667
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$191
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$81
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

View
100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$67
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

View
100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$28
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5

View
100%
78%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$23
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,041
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NRFI

View
0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,472
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,914
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,210
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 12.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,084
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Extra Innings

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$206
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 13.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 28

Intro

This market tracks whether there will be a run scored in the first inning of the MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Cleveland Guardians. The aggregated consensus probability for the leading outcome stands at 99.0%. Data is drawn from Predict, Polymarket, Opinion, and Kalshi, with resolution based on MLB.com. Watch for the game on August 14, 2026, as this will determine the market outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms share identical resolution logic for both the game winner and first-inning run markets, using MLB.com as the primary source.Primary resolution logic: MLB.com

Core resolution logic:

  • If the San Diego Padres win the game, resolve to "San Diego Padres"
  • If the Cleveland Guardians win the game, resolve to "Cleveland Guardians"
  • If the game is canceled, postponed with no makeup, or ends in a tie, resolve 50-50
  • For the first-inning run market: resolve to "Yes" if either team scores in the first inning, otherwise resolve to "No"

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: Market remains open until the game is completed; if ultimately canceled, resolve 50-50
  • Tie: Market resolves 50-50 if the game ends in a tie or is officially canceled
Timing: Resolution occurs after the official game result is published on MLB.com, with a 24-hour grace period for official statisticsOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for August 14 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

If either team scores a run in the first inning of the San Diego vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for August 14 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Opinion

In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-08-14 23:10 UTC: If the San Diego Padres win, the market will resolve to "San Diego Padres". If the Cleveland Guardians win, the market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Padres vs. Guardians matchup market aggregates activity across platforms, showing total volume of $859,156 and 24-hour volume of $806,275. It displays consensus probabilities where available, along with platform-specific leaderboards and top outcomes. This real-time view helps traders compare sentiment and positioning in the Padres vs. Guardians matchup market, highlighting shifts as the game approaches.