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404,028

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2,681

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San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves?

Volume:
$2,046,551

O/U 8.5

 - Polymarket

O/U 8.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 23, 2026

Closed: Jul 23, 2:39 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$290,575
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Yes

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$219,123
N/A
N/A
$139,619
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NRFI

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,994
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 7.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$185,530
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$20,756
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,916
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$832
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$517
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$110
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$953,618
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$289,939
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,714
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 11.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,523
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,831
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,526
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 12.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$921
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Extra Innings

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$67
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 23

Intro

This market tracks whether the San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves game will go to extra innings. The current aggregated consensus probability for the leading outcome is 50.0%, drawn from Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolution details provided by MLB.com. The second outcome stands at 10.0%. The key catalyst to monitor is the scheduled game time on July 30, which will determine whether the game proceeds as planned or is postponed, impacting the final resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Scheduled game time differs between platforms (July 23 12:15 PM ET vs July 22 7:15 PM EDT), and postponement/cancellation edge case handling is asymmetric. Kalshi lacks explicit guidance on makeup games and tie/cancellation scenarios.Hero tip: Cross-reference the official MLB.com schedule to confirm the true game date and time. On Polymarket, follow the explicit makeup game instruction if postponed. On Kalshi, assume binary resolution only and seek clarification on cancellation scenarios before committing capital.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Two markets (match winner and first-inning run) both scheduled July 23 at 12:15 PM ET. Postponement keeps market open until completion; cancellation with no makeup or tie resolves 50-50. Primary source: official MLB statistics within 24 hours, or credible reporting consensus. Explicit instruction to check home team schedule on MLB.com for makeup games.
  • Kalshi: First-inning run market scheduled July 22, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT (one day earlier). Binary resolution (Yes if run scored in 1st inning, No if not). No explicit postponement, makeup game, or cancellation guidance provided. Resolves only on the stated outcome.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for July 23 at 12:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

If either team scores a run in the first inning of the San Diego vs Atlanta professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 22, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data on the Padres vs. Braves matchup across Polymarket and Kalshi, allowing traders to monitor real-time odds on game outcomes and in-game events. The primary focus tracks whether a run will be scored in the first inning, a popular early-game indicator. By comparing prices across both venues, you gain insight into how different trader populations assess the same event. The aggregated view helps identify consensus and spot pricing inefficiencies between platforms, giving you a comprehensive snapshot of market sentiment around this matchup.

Prediction markets like those tracked here operate on crowd-sourced pricing, where traders buy and sell shares based on their beliefs about outcomes. Unlike traditional sportsbooks, which set fixed odds and profit from the spread, prediction markets reflect dynamic consensus from many participants. This often produces sharper, more efficient pricing over time, especially as new information emerges. However, sportsbook odds may move faster on breaking news due to professional risk management. For this matchup, comparing prediction market prices to your preferred sportsbook can reveal value opportunities and help validate your own edge.

Key catalysts include lineup announcements, starting pitcher confirmations, and recent team performance trends. Weather conditions at game time—wind speed and direction—can significantly influence early-inning scoring probability. Injury updates to star players or bullpen availability may shift trader sentiment on offensive output. Real-time game action, such as early hits or walks, will drive sharp repricing as the first inning unfolds. Additionally, any changes to ballpark conditions or umpire assignments could influence how traders assess the likelihood of an opening-inning run.