TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 11:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the margin of victory in the same soccer match, allowing bettors to speculate on whether San Diego FC or Philadelphia will win by a specific goal differential. Outcomes hinge on the difference in goals between the two teams at the end of regulation time.
Markets resolve according to the goal differential in the San Diego FC vs Philadelphia professional MLS soccer match on September 13, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. A 'Yes' result for San Diego occurs if they win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. Conversely, a 'Yes' for Philadelphia triggers if they win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. Kalshi emphasizes no official league affiliation, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information and insights different from those captured by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by analysts who may be influenced by public perception or team biases. This market, however, is driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. As a result, you may find that the implied probabilities from Kalshi diverge from sportsbook odds, particularly as new information emerges or if there’s strong disagreement among traders regarding the likely result of the San Diego FC vs Philadelphia match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what traders are collectively willing to pay for a contract that pays out if their predicted outcome happens. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, making it a powerful forecasting tool for the San Diego FC vs Philadelphia match.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the San Diego FC vs Philadelphia match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle based on the final score of the game, as determined by official sources. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome, based on publicly available and verifiable data.
Several factors could significantly influence this market leading up to Sep 14, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either San Diego FC or Philadelphia would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on game day, or even significant pre-game analysis from respected sports commentators, could all contribute to price movement in this market. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the teams’ relative strengths will likely be reflected in the trading activity.