TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 11:39 PM EST
Kalshi
The match features two teams competing in a soccer league, where the outcome depends on whether both teams manage to score during the regular play time, including any added minutes at the end of the match. The focus is solely on the performance of the teams within the standard match duration. This scenario tests the offensive capabilities of each team under normal competitive conditions.
If San Diego FC and Philadelphia both score a goal in the San Diego FC vs Philadelphia MLS match originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing the probability of both teams scoring, they can express that view by buying or selling contracts, potentially driving the price away from the sportsbook’s initial offering. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both San Diego FC and Philadelphia will score during the match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price fluctuates, providing a real-time assessment of the market’s collective expectation. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both San Diego FC and Philadelphia score at least one goal during the scheduled match time, including any added time. The final result will be determined by official match data, and the market will settle to 100 if both teams score, or 0 if either team fails to score. The outcome is not dependent on any pre-match predictions or analyses.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either San Diego FC or Philadelphia would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also move the market. Additionally, any updates on team formations or tactical approaches, as well as pre-match analysis from reputable sources, could all contribute to shifts in trader sentiment and, consequently, the market price.