TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
San Diego FC vs. Minnesota United FC - More Markets
Volume:
$156,773
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers an MLS match between San Diego FC and Minnesota United FC scheduled for April 11, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET. Markets span multiple outcome types: goal-differential spreads (±1.5 and ±2.5), total goals over/under thresholds (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5), and both-teams-to-score. All markets resolve on the official 90-minute plus stoppage time result only.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket align on the same match, time window (90 min + stoppage), official resolution source (mlssoccer.com), and edge-case handling (postponement, cancellation, incomplete matches).
Primary resolution logic:
Official MLS statistics published on mlssoccer.com; if not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used as secondary source.Core resolution logic:
- Spread markets (±1.5, ±2.5): Resolve based on final goal differential. San Diego FC spreads resolve YES/San Diego if they win by the specified margin or more; Minnesota spreads resolve YES/Minnesota if they win by the specified margin or more.
- Over/Under markets (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5): Resolve based on combined total goals scored by both teams. Over resolves if total meets or exceeds the threshold plus one (e.g., O/U 1.5 = Over if 2+ goals); Under resolves if total is below threshold plus one.
- Both Teams to Score: Resolves YES if both San Diego FC and Minnesota United FC each score at least one goal; resolves NO if either team scores zero goals.
- Time scope: All resolutions based on 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties excluded.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Game Postponement: Markets remain open until the game is completed. No early resolution occurs.
- Game Cancellation (No Makeup): All markets in the group resolve 50-50 (split equally between Yes and No, or between two outcomes).
- Incomplete Match: If the game starts but is not completed, resolution uses the official final score published on mlssoccer.com at that time.
- Delayed Official Statistics: If mlssoccer.com does not publish final statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting sources is used instead.
- Extra Time and Penalties: These are explicitly excluded from all market resolutions; only the 90-minute plus stoppage time result counts.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes and official statistics are published on mlssoccer.com (or within 2 hours thereafter if a credible reporting consensus is required). Markets remain open during postponements and resolve only upon match completion.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.