TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
San Diego FC vs. Minnesota United FC
Volume:
$1,274,680
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, April 11, 2026 between San Diego FC and Minnesota United FC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi resolves on any outcome (win, loss, or draw) as YES, creating a logical contradiction, while Polymarket uses three separate binary markets that each resolve YES or NO based on specific match outcomes. The platforms use fundamentally different market structures for the same event.Hero Tip:
Avoid betting on Kalshi's market as written—it resolves YES regardless of outcome, making it unresolvable as a prediction market. Trade only on Polymarket's three binary markets (San Diego win, Minnesota win, draw), which have standard YES/NO resolution logic tied to actual match results.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's three rules all resolve to YES for any possible outcome (San Diego win, Minnesota win, or tie), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market unresolvable. Key quote: 'If San Diego FC wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Minnesota wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket uses three separate binary markets with standard resolution logic—each market resolves YES only if its specific outcome occurs (San Diego win, Minnesota win, or draw) and NO otherwise. Key quote: 'If San Diego FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.