TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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San Diego FC vs. Minnesota United FC
kalshi
polymarket

San Diego FC vs. Minnesota United FC

Volume:
$1,274,680

Minnesota

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 12, 2026

Closed: Apr 12, 1:30 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Minnesota

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$248,586
N/A
N/A
$146,570
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Minnesota United FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$66,840
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

San Diego FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$593,789
N/A
N/A
$370,020
Settled
No
polymarket

San Diego FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$197,077
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$147,252
N/A
N/A
$92,522
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (San Diego FC vs. Minnesota United FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,136
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, April 11, 2026 between San Diego FC and Minnesota United FC.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi resolves on any outcome (win, loss, or draw) as YES, creating a logical contradiction, while Polymarket uses three separate binary markets that each resolve YES or NO based on specific match outcomes. The platforms use fundamentally different market structures for the same event.Hero tip: Avoid betting on Kalshi's market as written—it resolves YES regardless of outcome, making it unresolvable as a prediction market. Trade only on Polymarket's three binary markets (San Diego win, Minnesota win, draw), which have standard YES/NO resolution logic tied to actual match results.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's three rules all resolve to YES for any possible outcome (San Diego win, Minnesota win, or tie), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market unresolvable. Key quote: 'If San Diego FC wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Minnesota wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket uses three separate binary markets with standard resolution logic—each market resolves YES only if its specific outcome occurs (San Diego win, Minnesota win, or draw) and NO otherwise. Key quote: 'If San Diego FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.