TOTAL VOLUME:
$142.4b
24H VOL:
$104,871,197
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,643,541,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,592,701,755
469,827
Markets across
35,657
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,899
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Over 5.5 goals scored
- Kalshi
Over 5.5 goals scored - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Oct 15, 2026
Closed: Oct 15, 12:45 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether more than 5.5 total goals will be scored in the San Diego FC versus Houston professional MLS soccer game. Currently, the probability of over 5.5 goals being scored on Kalshi is 99.0%, with a 1.0% probability of over 6.5 goals being scored. The market will resolve based on whether over 5.5 goals are scored in the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by official match data. Keep a close watch on the game itself, as the market resolves following the originally scheduled match date of Oct 14, 2026, with a resolution date estimate of 2026-10-15.
Each market assesses whether a specific number of goals are scored in the San Diego FC vs Houston MLS game scheduled for Oct 14, 2026, counting only goals during the 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the total goals exceed the threshold stated in each rule (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals). All rules share the same secondary disclaimer regarding Kalshi's lack of affiliation with the Governing League and the ownership of trademarks.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of certain events. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts corresponding to different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective forecast. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the final number of goals and trading contracts accordingly. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the San Diego FC vs Houston match will determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders will then receive payouts based on the final outcome and the contracts they hold in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either San Diego FC or Houston would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also shift the market. Additionally, pre-match analysis from sports commentators, updated team lineups, and even public sentiment expressed on social media could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market before Oct 15, 2026.