TOTAL VOLUME:
$142.3b
24H VOL:
$107,419,736
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,643,541,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,594,026,835
471,138
Markets across
35,775
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,926
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
$
This prediction market concerns the outcome of the second half of a Major League Soccer (MLS) match between San Diego FC and Houston Dynamo. Users are betting on which team will score more goals in the second half, or if the second half will end in a draw. The markets exclude any goals scored in the first half, extra time, or penalty shootouts.
In the upcoming MLS game between San Diego FC and Houston Dynamo, scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego FC" if San Diego FC score more goals than Houston Dynamo in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if San Diego FC and Houston Dynamo score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Houston Dynamo" if Houston Dynamo score more goals than San Diego FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming MLS game between San Diego FC and Houston Dynamo, scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego FC" if San Diego FC score more goals than Houston Dynamo in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if San Diego FC and Houston Dynamo score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Houston Dynamo" if Houston Dynamo score more goals than San Diego FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow participants to freely express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when significant information isn't yet widely reflected in sportsbook lines. The current volume on this market is $7, indicating active trading and evolving probabilities.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts different types of traders with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume typically leads to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific rules and user interfaces of each platform can influence trading behavior. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Houston Dynamo to win the second half at 98 percent, while Predict leans toward San Diego FC to win the second half. These differences highlight the dynamic nature of prediction markets.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by which team—San Diego FC or Houston Dynamo—wins the second half of the match. The final score and official match results will be used to verify the outcome. Trading will cease prior to resolution, and the market will settle to 100% for the winning outcome, with other outcomes settling to 0%.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before it resolves around Oct 15, 2026. Key events include any late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either San Diego FC or Houston Dynamo. Tactical changes announced by the coaches, or even weather conditions on match day, could also shift expectations. Unexpected in-game events during the first half, such as a red card or a significant goal, would likely cause a rapid reassessment of probabilities. Monitoring team news and expert analysis will be crucial for tracking potential market movements.