TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 11:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This event covers the exact final score of the San Diego FC vs FC Dallas MLS soccer match scheduled for July 25, 2026. Bettors can wager on specific scorelines ranging from 0-0 draws to high-scoring outcomes, with outcomes covering various combinations of goals for each team during the 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution is based on the exact final score in the San Diego FC vs FC Dallas professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for July 25, 2026, measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties). Each market outcome corresponds to a specific scoreline (e.g., 0-0, 1-0, 2-1, etc.). Yes resolves if the final score matches the specified outcome exactly. The determination uses the official final score as recorded by the league.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margins, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market aggregates trader conviction across all possible correct scores, which can reveal nuances that traditional sportsbooks price differently. Comparing the two can highlight where public perception differs from market consensus, though both sources offer valuable signals for understanding the expected range of final scores.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and asks for each correct score outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of any scoreline reflects the marginal trade—the last transaction at which someone was willing to buy or sell that outcome. As new information emerges or trader sentiment shifts, prices adjust in real time. Each outcome competes independently, so a scoreline favored by many traders will trade at a higher price than one viewed as unlikely, creating a natural probability ranking across all possible final scores.
This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, once the San Diego FC versus Dallas match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the actual scoreline at the end of regulation play. Traders holding positions on the correct final score will be settled based on which outcome matches the official result. Until that moment, prices remain fluid as bettors adjust their positions based on team news, injuries, weather, and other pre-match developments.
Several catalysts can shift odds in this market before Jul 26, 2026. Injury announcements to key players on either squad often trigger sharp repricing, as they affect expected goal-scoring ability. Team form, recent head-to-head results, and lineup confirmations closer to kickoff can also drive significant movement. Weather conditions and venue factors may influence scoring patterns. Additionally, any breaking news about roster changes, coaching decisions, or external circumstances affecting either side can prompt traders to reassess their scoreline probabilities. Real-time updates during the pre-match period typically see the most volatile price action.