TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 11:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether more than half a goal will be scored in the San Diego FC versus Dallas MLS match. On Kalshi, the current probability that over 0.5 goals will be scored stands at 99.0%. The outcome will be resolved based on the official match result. The decisive moment to watch will be the end of the match on July 25, 2026, which will determine whether the over 0.5 goals threshold is met.
Resolution is based on the total goals scored by both teams combined during the San Diego FC vs Dallas professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for July 25, 2026, measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time and excluding extra time or penalties. Goals are counted toward the team awarded the goal, including own goals. The market resolves to Yes if the combined total exceeds the specified threshold.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and audiences. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one reflect genuine trader beliefs about the outcome. Prediction markets typically incorporate real-time information and adjust faster than traditional sportsbooks, making them valuable for comparing against published spreads. Many traders use both sources to identify mispricings and sharpen their forecasts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different goal-total outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the probability traders assign to that outcome occurring. As new information emerges or trading activity shifts, prices adjust in real time, allowing you to enter or exit positions at market rates or place limit orders to trade at your target price.
This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, once the San Diego FC vs Dallas match concludes and the final goal total is verified. The outcome is determined by the combined number of goals scored by both teams during regulation play. Resolution is confirmed against credible public sources reporting the official match result, ensuring accuracy and fairness for all traders.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before Jul 26, 2026. Team news—injuries to key strikers or defensive players, lineup changes, or tactical announcements—often triggers repricing. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day all influence goal-scoring likelihood. Major betting syndicates entering the market can also move prices sharply. As kickoff approaches, late-breaking roster updates or venue-specific factors typically drive final adjustments.