TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 8:53 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Timo Legout and Igor Ribeiro Marcondes in the San Diego 2, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Timo Legout' if Timo Legout advances against Igor Ribeiro Marcondes. This market will resolve to 'Igor Ribeiro Marcondes' if Igor Ribeiro Marcondes advances against Timo Legout. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Timo Legout and Igor Ribeiro Marcondes in the San Diego 2, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Timo Legout' if Timo Legout advances against Igor Ribeiro Marcondes. This market will resolve to 'Igor Ribeiro Marcondes' if Igor Ribeiro Marcondes advances against Timo Legout. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds can differ from those found at traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd and potentially incorporating information not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set initial odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, leading to a dynamic adjustment of probabilities. Discrepancies can arise from differing opinions on player form, potential upsets, or even external factors influencing the match. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. This creates a dynamic market where prices fluctuate based on supply and demand, driven by new information and changing opinions about the Legout vs Ribeiro match.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the San Diego 2 match between Timo Legout and Igor Ribeiro Marcondes. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and accurate settlement process. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified result of the match.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public opinion could cause the odds to move. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or player form could also impact the market. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a change in sentiment, potentially leading to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 3, 2026.