TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 4:10 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Erik Arutiunian and Luca Staeheli in the San Diego 2, USA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Erik Arutiunian' if Erik Arutiunian advances against Luca Staeheli. This market will resolve to 'Luca Staeheli' if Luca Staeheli advances against Erik Arutiunian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Erik Arutiunian and Luca Staeheli in the San Diego 2, USA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Erik Arutiunian' if Erik Arutiunian advances against Luca Staeheli. This market will resolve to 'Luca Staeheli' if Luca Staeheli advances against Erik Arutiunian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, varying levels of expertise among participants, and the influence of market sentiment. If sportsbook odds significantly differ from those seen here, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event or has overlooked key factors influencing the outcome of the Arutiunian vs Staeheli match.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the San Diego 2 match between Erik Arutiunian and Luca Staeheli. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be entitled to a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution. It's important to monitor for updates as the event approaches.
Several factors could influence the price action of this market before Sep 27, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in coaching strategy could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match venue or scheduling changes might also cause fluctuations. Furthermore, broader trends in tennis or specific insights from expert analysts could impact the perceived probabilities of each player winning. Monitoring tennis news and social media discussions can provide valuable clues about potential catalysts that could move this market.