TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 23, 6:11 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Kiger/Smith and Martin/Rybakov in the San Diego 2, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kiger/Smith' if the team of Kiger/Smith advances against Martin/Rybakov. This market will resolve to 'Martin/Rybakov' if the team of Martin/Rybakov advances against Kiger/Smith. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Kiger/Smith and Martin/Rybakov in the San Diego 2, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kiger/Smith' if the team of Kiger/Smith advances against Martin/Rybakov. This market will resolve to 'Martin/Rybakov' if the team of Martin/Rybakov advances against Kiger/Smith. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can arise from varying levels of information access, differing interpretations of data, or simply the influence of market sentiment within Polymarket.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the San Diego doubles match. The price of each share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived likelihood of success. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the San Diego 2 (Doubles): Kiger/Smith vs Martin/Rybakov match. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which team emerged victorious. Traders who held shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. This process ensures a transparent and objective resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Sep 29, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in preceding matches or tournaments could also impact predictions. Furthermore, significant trading activity from well-informed or influential traders on Polymarket can create momentum and drive price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on potential shifts in the market.