TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Completed Match
- Polymarket
Completed Match - Polymarket
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 25, 2026
Closed: Sep 24, 8:10 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Andres Andrade will win by a margin of at least two sets against Darwin Blanch in their San Diego 2 tennis match. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to Andres Andrade (-1.5) winning against Darwin Blanch (+1.5). The resolution source for this market is the official ATP Tour website at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Keep an eye on the match itself, originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 1:00PM ET, as the outcome will depend on the performance of both players during that fixture.
This market refers to the tennis match between Darwin Blanch and Andres Andrade in the San Diego 2, originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Darwin Blanch' if Darwin Blanch advances against Andres Andrade. This market will resolve to 'Andres Andrade' if Andres Andrade advances against Darwin Blanch. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular result in the Blanch vs Andrade match, the prediction market may show a different probability. This difference can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Blanch vs Andrade match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and share their insights, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The current total volume traded demonstrates the level of interest and confidence in the market.
This market resolves around Oct 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Blanch vs Andrade match as determined by the governing body of the sport. The platform will verify the result against credible public sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at the time of resolution.
Several signals could move this market before Oct 1, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in training regimes, or even weather conditions affecting the match could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about either fighter’s condition or strategy could also cause significant shifts in the odds. Public opinion, as reflected in expert analysis and media coverage, can also play a role, as traders incorporate new information into their predictions for the Blanch vs Andrade match.