TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 8:30 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrew Johnson and Sebastian Gorzny in the San Diego 2, USA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 5:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrew Johnson' if Andrew Johnson advances against Sebastian Gorzny. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Gorzny' if Sebastian Gorzny advances against Andrew Johnson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrew Johnson and Sebastian Gorzny in the San Diego 2, USA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 5:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrew Johnson' if Andrew Johnson advances against Sebastian Gorzny. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Gorzny' if Sebastian Gorzny advances against Andrew Johnson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, biases, or simply the dynamics of each venue. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, particularly in response to breaking news or unexpected developments related to the players involved.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and express their views, the prices adjust, reflecting the collective prediction. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand, influenced by news, analysis, and overall sentiment surrounding the Johnson vs Gorzny match.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the San Diego 2 match between Andrew Johnson and Sebastian Gorzny, as determined by the governing body of the competition. The platform will then verify the result against credible public sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on team strategies could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player form or potential tactical adjustments could also lead to price fluctuations. Furthermore, major upsets in related matches or broader tournament developments could indirectly impact predictions. Monitoring sports news and analysis related to Andrew Johnson and Sebastian Gorzny will be key to understanding potential market movements.