TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 6:02 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrew Fenty and Erik Arutiunian in the San Diego 2, USA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrew Fenty' if Andrew Fenty advances against Erik Arutiunian. This market will resolve to 'Erik Arutiunian' if Erik Arutiunian advances against Andrew Fenty. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrew Fenty and Erik Arutiunian in the San Diego 2, USA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrew Fenty' if Andrew Fenty advances against Erik Arutiunian. This market will resolve to 'Erik Arutiunian' if Erik Arutiunian advances against Andrew Fenty. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while Polymarket allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to discrepancies, with this market potentially offering more favorable odds for certain outcomes if there's strong disagreement between the crowd and the sportsbook. It’s common to see prediction markets act as an information aggregator, sometimes even predicting outcomes more accurately than traditional sources.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each player winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. The market's liquidity, currently at $93,374, influences how quickly and efficiently prices respond to new information. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to changing perceptions.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the San Diego 2 match between Andrew Fenty and Erik Arutiunian. The platform will rely on publicly available sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor official tournament results and reporting to understand how this market will ultimately be settled.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the event might also impact perceptions of player momentum. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price swings. Monitoring tennis news, expert analysis, and the trading volume on Polymarket will provide valuable insights into potential market movements before Sep 28, 2026.