TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 12, 11:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This event assesses the extent of victory for either San Antonio or Miami in their USL Cup soccer match. Markets are structured around the size of the winning team's advantage in goals during regulation time and stoppage time.
Resolution depends on the goal differential once the match concludes after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, not including extra time or penalty kicks. A market resolves to Yes if the victorious team wins by the exact number of goals or more as specified in the market title. Different markets cover various minimum margins of victory for each team. Kalshi clarifies it is not officially associated with the governing USL Cup league.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a different risk assessment because they are driven by trader sentiment and real-time betting activity rather than set lines. While sportsbooks may use historical data and adjusted margins, this market incorporates crowd-sourced insights and can shift more dynamically based on new information or injuries.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine prices through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top outcome reflecting the collective belief about which team will win by a certain margin in regulation time. The market’s price adjusts instantly to new data, such as player injuries or weather updates, allowing for a responsive and community-driven valuation process.
This market resolves around Aug 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread at the end of regulation time will determine which side of the market is settled, based on official game results and statistics released after the match concludes.
Key signals such as player injuries, coaching strategies, or weather conditions could shift this market as they affect the expected performance of either team. Additionally, major news reports or changes in team lineups before the game can cause rapid adjustments in trader sentiment and, consequently, market prices leading up to Aug 13, 2026.