TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 11:06 PM EST
Kalshi
Two soccer teams compete in a match where the total number of goals scored determines potential payouts. Bets are placed on whether the combined goals will exceed various thresholds. The outcome hinges solely on the final score after regulation time.
Markets resolve to Yes if the specified number of goals or more are scored in the San Antonio vs Louisville City USL Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 8, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from goal counts. All markets share identical secondary disclaimers regarding affiliations and intellectual property ownership.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, whereas this market’s prices are driven purely by supply and demand from traders. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, they will buy contracts, driving up the price and shifting the implied probability. This dynamic can lead to prediction markets being more accurate than traditional betting markets, especially as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders can buy and sell contracts at any time, setting their own prices. The price of a contract represents the probability of that specific total goals outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the available contracts at different price points, indicating the level of liquidity and potential price slippage for larger trades. Traders are attempting to capitalize on discrepancies between their own predictions and the market’s collective assessment.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total goals scored in regulation time – excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts – in the San Antonio vs Louisville City match will determine the winning contract. The final score will be sourced from official match data and verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout of 100 minus the commission.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either San Antonio or Louisville City would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also affect trading activity. Late-breaking news about team formations or tactical approaches could also shift the market. Furthermore, significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could influence traders on Kalshi to reassess their positions, leading to price adjustments.