TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 11:06 PM EST
Kalshi
The match features two teams competing in a soccer championship. The focus is on whether both teams manage to score during the regular time of the game, which includes the standard 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time. The outcome depends solely on their performance within this timeframe, without considering any extended play beyond regular time.
If San Antonio and Louisville City both score a goal in the San Antonio vs Louisville City USL Cup match originally scheduled for Sep 8, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, aiming to profit regardless of the outcome. This market, however, is driven purely by trader opinions, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team rankings and statistics, this market adapts dynamically to news, injuries, and changing perceptions, offering a different signal than conventional betting lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing a 'Yes' or 'No' outcome to the question of whether both San Antonio and Louisville City will score during regulation time. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts, providing a dynamic assessment of the likelihood of both teams finding the net. The current price indicates the market's collective belief about this possibility.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both San Antonio and Louisville City score at least one goal during regulation time – any goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered. The result will be determined by official match statistics and verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. The final price on Kalshi will reflect the outcome of the match.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either San Antonio or Louisville City would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups, or even pre-match analysis suggesting a shift in expected goal-scoring potential, could all contribute to fluctuations in the market price. Monitoring team news and expert opinions will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market.