TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 18, 11:00 PM EST
Kalshi
San Antonio competes against Las Vegas Lights in a professional USL Championship soccer game. The winner is determined by the score after 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time, not including extra time or penalties.
This market covers the San Antonio vs Las Vegas Lights professional USL Championship soccer game scheduled for July 18, 2026, evaluated after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). The market resolves to Yes for whichever team wins during regulation play, or to the Tie market if the game ends level. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled more than two weeks from the original date, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and audiences. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets reflect the collective belief of traders risking real money on outcomes. This market aggregates thousands of independent forecasts, which can reveal insights sportsbooks haven't fully priced in. Comparing the two can highlight where sharp traders see value or where public bias may have skewed conventional betting lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the probability traders assign to that result, ranging from $0 to $1. As new information surfaces or sentiment shifts, the bid-ask spread tightens or widens, and prices adjust in real time. You can enter limit or market orders to trade at your preferred price level.
This market resolves around Jul 19, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will reflect the final score and official determination of the winner. Until that point, prices will fluctuate based on team news, injury reports, betting patterns, and other signals traders interpret as predictive. Resolution is automatic once the event is confirmed, and payouts are distributed to holders of the winning shares.
Key player injuries, lineup announcements, and recent team form can shift trader expectations significantly. Weather conditions, travel schedules, and head-to-head historical matchups also influence pricing. Major news—such as coaching changes or unexpected roster moves—often triggers sharp price swings as informed traders react first. Public betting trends and social media sentiment can amplify moves, while contrarian traders may fade consensus to capture value. Monitoring team updates and sports news outlets helps you stay ahead of market repricing.