TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 31, 9:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of the first half of a professional soccer match between San Antonio and Indy Eleven. The result depends on which team leads after the initial 45 minutes of play, including any added stoppage time. If both teams are tied or no goals are scored, the outcome reflects a draw.
If San Antonio is the winner of the first half in the San Antonio vs Indy Eleven professional USL Championship soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 31, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes. If Indy Eleven is the winner of the first half in the San Antonio vs Indy Eleven professional USL Championship soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 31, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the first half in the San Antonio vs Indy Eleven professional USL Championship soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 31, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks may incorporate additional factors like historical performance and public betting trends, prediction markets focus purely on the likelihood of outcomes as assessed by participants. This difference often results in varying implied probabilities, especially when considering the unique dynamics and participant base of Kalshi. Traders in this market may react more quickly to new information, potentially creating divergence from sportsbook odds.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the price for this market through their buy and sell orders. The current implied probability reflects the balance of these orders, showing how the market participants expect the first half to unfold. Liquidity levels and recent trading activity also influence the displayed odds, making the price a live indicator of trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match records, which state the leading team at halftime. Once confirmed, the market settles automatically based on that verified result.
Several key developments could shift expectations in this market before Aug 1, 2026. Injuries to key players, tactical changes by coaches, or even weather conditions impacting the game could all influence perceptions of the likely half-time leader. Additionally, strong performances in recent matches by either team may sway trader sentiment. As the match date approaches, updated expert analyses and fan discussions may also cause fluctuations in the odds on Kalshi.