TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 15, 11:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This spread-focused match between San Antonio and El Paso Locomotive FC will test the teams' ability to achieve decisive victories. The contest will highlight whether either side can establish a commanding lead or if the game remains tightly contested.
The market resolves to Yes if San Antonio wins by more than 2.5 goals or if El Paso Locomotive FC wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals in the professional USL Championship soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties are excluded. Four separate thresholds exist: San Antonio by >2.5 goals, San Antonio by >1.5 goals, El Paso by >1.5 goals, and El Paso by >2.5 goals. Each threshold is evaluated independently.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader dynamics and lower volume of $3,984. While sportsbooks set their spreads based on analytics and public betting patterns, prediction markets let participants bet directly on outcomes, which can lead to tighter or wider spreads depending on recent performance, injuries, or other game-specific factors. Traders may react faster to new information than sportsbooks, creating potential discrepancies.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the price by buying and selling contracts that represent San Antonio winning by a certain margin or El Paso covering the spread. The current implied probability reflects the market’s view of each team’s chances based on recent form, head-to-head history, and any last-minute changes. Volume of $3,984 helps determine how liquid and stable these prices are as the event nears.
This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread result is determined by official match statistics and announcements from recognized sports authorities, ensuring an accurate and transparent settlement.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions, or changes in coaching strategy could shift expectations and move this market. Strong recent performances by either team, betting trends, and media narratives may also influence trader sentiment. As Aug 16, 2026 approaches, any last-minute updates — even minor ones — can cause rapid adjustments in odds, so keeping an eye on official team announcements and game-day conditions is crucial for tracking movement.